Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.234922 3.835123 4.545903 5.458175 6.610225 8.033291 9.950264e+00
2024-10-27 2.311369 3.015343 3.958462 5.347367 7.399311 10.419296 1.540339e+01
2024-11-03 2.009704 2.794724 3.938870 5.797912 8.888509 14.119008 2.439230e+01
2024-11-10 1.749074 2.550298 3.794696 5.977844 9.971939 17.584076 3.508687e+01
2024-11-17 1.580503 2.400191 3.745705 6.274048 11.328323 22.131666 5.132617e+01
2024-11-24 1.394876 2.184702 3.537474 6.220400 11.982276 25.544138 6.785416e+01
2024-12-01 1.266437 2.041084 3.421673 6.304518 12.945993 30.183120 9.290566e+01
2024-12-08 1.154842 1.908113 3.298300 6.338031 13.806106 35.070014 1.253631e+02
2024-12-15 1.089080 1.846864 3.297823 6.631306 15.421451 43.237035 1.856853e+02
2024-12-22 0.990341 1.710181 3.124652 6.491244 15.839624 47.877467 2.385940e+02
2024-12-29 0.918542 1.615750 3.022572 6.496102 16.683524 54.767042 3.245430e+02
2025-01-05 0.846271 1.511585 2.884092 6.379612 17.125429 60.512165 4.225570e+02
2025-01-12 0.796916 1.457801 2.869378 6.646527 19.183444 76.840866 7.268472e+02
2025-01-19 0.722820 1.346032 2.712424 6.509562 19.893752 88.364322 1.101890e+03
2025-01-26 0.700841 1.340004 2.797210 7.086336 23.693906 124.895791 2.624749e+03
2025-02-02 0.661749 1.290832 2.768586 7.317627 26.313230 160.655003 5.736734e+03
2025-02-09 0.633536 1.261692 2.784095 7.699298 29.990312 217.283026 1.644474e+04
2025-02-16 0.589141 1.189538 2.675368 7.630082 31.428272 258.305865 3.878919e+04
2025-02-23 0.556504 1.140832 2.620807 7.738626 33.996915 325.539687 1.415772e+05
2025-03-02 0.524823 1.090540 2.553449 7.781897 36.302703 403.895802 7.698484e+05
2025-03-09 0.506920 1.071505 2.570582 8.161184 41.232404 567.041225 7.473933e+07
2025-03-16 0.473659 1.010570 2.456962 7.979905 42.188417 659.233916 NaN
2025-03-23 0.448822 0.968272 2.392096 7.986189 44.653285 823.264782 NaN